Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.244869 0.288679 0.335340 0.388461 0.446987 0.509236 0.580187
2024-11-03 0.190400 0.250365 0.318674 0.401143 0.496922 0.603626 0.730451
2024-11-10 0.151002 0.220764 0.305405 0.413044 0.543730 0.694864 0.880438
2024-11-17 0.113978 0.186811 0.281169 0.407467 0.567349 0.758608 1.000256
2024-11-24 0.090047 0.164989 0.268253 0.412924 0.602724 0.836216 1.138082
2024-12-01 0.068160 0.141344 0.249060 0.407126 0.621859 0.893123 1.251363
2024-12-08 0.049000 0.117256 0.225330 0.391814 0.626078 0.929797 1.339153
2024-12-15 0.039386 0.106567 0.219514 0.400229 0.661346 1.006393 1.478331
2024-12-22 0.028823 0.091137 0.203803 0.392125 0.672404 1.050560 1.575997
2024-12-29 0.024565 0.087055 0.205936 0.410551 0.720991 1.145436 1.741059
2025-01-05 0.018725 0.077585 0.197289 0.411047 0.743097 1.204407 1.859445
2025-01-12 0.014349 0.069925 0.190621 0.413743 0.767899 1.267041 1.983261
2025-01-19 0.011563 0.065559 0.189851 0.426483 0.808866 1.354157 2.143245
2025-01-26 0.009362 0.061936 0.189972 0.440517 0.852058 1.445171 2.309976
2025-02-02 0.007472 0.058362 0.189628 0.453519 0.893868 1.534924 2.476327
2025-02-09 0.004978 0.050721 0.179252 0.447776 0.905785 1.581825 2.584270
2025-02-16 0.003593 0.046442 0.175606 0.453712 0.936087 1.655542 2.730112
2025-02-23 0.002185 0.040174 0.166009 0.447605 0.946371 1.699871 2.835269
2025-03-02 0.001043 0.032817 0.151881 0.431318 0.938834 1.717210 2.902210
2025-03-09 0.000673 0.030529 0.150719 0.440322 0.973460 1.797718 3.059377
2025-03-16 0.000272 0.025746 0.141307 0.431693 0.977652 1.832209 3.151093
2025-03-23 0.000194 0.025490 0.145427 0.451354 1.030791 1.941631 3.351382
2025-03-30 0.000070 0.022636 0.140723 0.451888 1.050612 2.000335 3.479107